Predictors of poor functional outcomes in adults with type I Chiari Malformation: Clinical and surgical factors assessed with the Chicago Chiari Outcome Scale over long-term follow-up

Objective This study aimed to identify clinical and surgical features associated with poor long-term postoperative outcomes in patients diagnosed with Type I Chiari Malformation (CMI) treated with posterior fossa decompression with duroplasty (PFDD), with or without tonsillar coagulation. Methods This retrospective, single-center study included 107 adult patients with CMI surgically treated between 2010 and 2021. The surgical technique involved a midline suboccipital craniectomy, C1 laminectomy, durotomy, arachnoid dissection, duroplasty, and tonsillar coagulation until 2014, after which tonsillar coagulation was discontinued. Postoperative outcomes were assessed using the Chicago Chiari Outcome Scale (CCOS) at a median follow-up of 35 months. Clinical, surgical, and neuroimaging data were analyzed using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test, Cox regression analysis, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves to identify predictors of poor functional outcomes. Results Of the 107 patients (mean age 43.9 years, SD 13), 81 (75.5 %) showed functional improvement, 25 (23.4 %) remained unchanged, and 1 (0.9 %) experienced worsened outcomes. Cephalalgia, bilateral motor weakness, and bilateral paresthesia were the most frequent initial symptoms. Tonsillar coagulation was performed in 31 cases (28.9 %) but was clinically associated with higher rates of unfavorable outcomes. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test indicated that long-term follow-up CCOS was significantly higher than postoperative CCOS (Z = −7.678, p < 0.000). Multivariate Cox analysis identified preoperative bilateral motor weakness (HR 6.1, 95 % CI 1.9–18.9; p = 0.002), hydrocephalus (HR 3.01, 95 % CI 1.3–6.9; p = 0.008), and unilateral motor weakness (HR 2.99, 95 % CI 1.1–8.2; p = 0.033) as significant predictors of poor outcomes on a long-term follow-up. Conclusion This study highlights the high rate of functional improvement in CMI patients following PFDD. Preoperative motor weakness and hydrocephalus were significant predictors of poor long-term outcomes. Tonsillar coagulation did not demonstrate a clear clinical benefit and may be associated with worse outcomes. Our findings suggest that careful preoperative assessment and selection of surgical techniques are crucial for optimizing patient outcomes.