Risk of Recurrence in Acute Anterior Uveitis.

PURPOSE:To examine the frequency of recurrence and identify risk factors for recurrence in patients with acute anterior uveitis (AAU). DESIGN:Retrospective cohort study from a single tertiary ophthalmic clinical centre. PARTICIPANTS:All subjects with AAU identified from a database of Inflammatory Eye Disease presenting to Te Whatu Ora (Auckland, New Zealand) between 2008 and 2021. METHODS:Data was collected retrospectively from chart review and electronic patient records for all patients during the study period. Rates of recurrence were reported using Kaplan Meier estimator. Multivariate analysis of risk factors for recurrence were calculated using a marginal Cox regression model. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:The primary outcome measure was disease recurrence. Secondary outcome measure was moderate vision loss (≤20/50). RESULTS:2763 eyes of 2092 subjects with AAU were studied, with a median follow up time of 8.9 years, and a total follow up of 19,794.9 eye-years. Recurrence occurred in the ipsilateral eye in 1258 eyes (45.5%) and in the contralateral eye in 522 eyes (27.3%). Rates of ipsilateral recurrence over ten years were 38.1% for idiopathic disease, 43.2% for HLAB27/inflammatory arthritis, and 44.9% for viral uveitis. On multivariate analysis the following were associated with increased risk of ipsilateral recurrence: older age (p<0.001); Māori ethnicity (p=0.006); Asian ethnicity (p<0.001); HLA-B27/inflammatory arthritis (p<0.001); viral uveitis (p=0.018). There was no association with gender, smoking, bilateral disease, or hypertensive uveitis. Rates of contralateral eye involvement were significantly lower than ipsilateral eye recurrence. Contralateral recurrence at ten years was 15.2% in idiopathic uveitis, 37.6% in HLAB27/inflammatory arthritis, and 2.0% in viral uveitis. Risk factors identified for contralateral eye involvement were Māori ethnicity (p=0.003), Pasifika (Pacific Islanders) ethnicity (p=0.021), HLAB27/inflammatory arthritis (p<0.001). Moderate vision loss (≤20/50) was present in 411 eyes (14.9%) at final follow up and was more common if time to first recurrence was shorter (p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS:Approximately half of patients with AAU will develop recurrence in the ipsilateral eye and a quarter will have recurrence in the contralateral eye. Patients with viral disease have the highest risk of ipsilateral recurrence and lowest risk of contralateral recurrence. Patients with risk factors for recurrence should be managed and counselled appropriately to minimise the risk of visual loss and complications of uveitis.