Non-Gaussian diffusion metrics with whole-tumor histogram analysis for bladder cancer diagnosis: muscle invasion and histological grade

To investigate the performance of histogram features of non-Gaussian diffusion metrics for diagnosing muscle invasion and histological grade in bladder cancer (BCa). Patients were prospectively allocated to MR scanner1 (training cohort) or MR2 (testing cohort) for conventional diffusion-weighted imaging (DWIconv) and multi-b-value DWI. Metrics of continuous time random walk (CTRW), diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI), fractional-order calculus (FROC), intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM), and stretched exponential model (SEM) were simultaneously calculated using multi-b-value DWI. Whole-tumor histogram features were extracted from DWIconv and non-Gaussian diffusion metrics for logistic regression analysis to develop diffusion models diagnosing muscle invasion and histological grade. The models’ performances were quantified by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). MR1 included 267 pathologically-confirmed BCa patients (median age, 67 years [IQR, 46–82], 222 men) and MR2 included 83 (median age, 65 years [IQR, 31–82], 73 men). For discriminating muscle invasion, CTRW achieved the highest testing AUC of 0.915, higher than DWIconv’s 0.805 (p = 0.014), and similar to the combined diffusion model’s AUC of 0.885 (p = 0.076). For differentiating histological grade of non-muscle-invasion bladder cancer, IVIM outperformed a testing AUC of 0.897, higher than DWIconv’s 0.694 (p = 0.020), and similar to the combined diffusion model’s AUC of 0.917 (p = 0.650). In both tasks, DKI, FROC, and SEM failed to show diagnostic superiority over DWIconv (p > 0.05). CTRW and IVIM are two potential non-Gaussian diffusion models to improve the MRI application in assessing muscle invasion and histological grade of BCa, respectively. Our study validates non-Gaussian diffusion imaging as a reliable, non-invasive technique for early assessment of muscle invasion and histological grade in BCa, enhancing accuracy in diagnosis and improving MRI application in BCa diagnostic procedures.