Improving access to primary health care through financial innovation in rural China: a quasi-experimental synthetic difference-in-differences approach

Inadequate financing constrains primary healthcare (PHC) capacity in many low- and middle-income countries, particularly in rural areas. This study evaluates an innovative PHC financing reform in rural China that aimed to improve access to healthcare services through supply-side integration and the establishment of a designated PHC fund. We employed a quasi-experimental synthetic difference-in-differences (SDID) approach to analyze county-level panel data from Chongqing Province, China, spanning from 2009 to 2018. The study compared the impact of the reform on PHC access and per capita health expenditures in Pengshui County with 37 other control counties (districts). We assessed the reform’s impact on two key outcomes: the share of outpatient visits at PHC facilities and per capita total PHC expenditure. The reform led to a significant increase in the share of outpatient visits at PHC facilities (14.92