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Predictive models for delay in medical decision-making among older patients with acute ischemic stroke: a comparative study using logistic regression analysis and lightGBM algorithm

Zhenwen Sheng,Jinke Kuang,Li Yang, Guiyun Wang,Cuihong Gu, Yanxia Qi, Ruowei Wang, Yuehua Han, Jiaojiao Li, Xia Wang

BMC Public Health(2024)

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Abstract
To explore the factors affecting delayed medical decision-making in older patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) using logistic regression analysis and the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) algorithm, and compare the two predictive models. A cross-sectional study was conducted among 309 older patients aged ≥ 60 who underwent AIS. Demographic characteristics, stroke onset characteristics, previous stroke knowledge level, health literacy, and social network were recorded. These data were separately inputted into logistic regression analysis and the LightGBM algorithm to build the predictive models for delay in medical decision-making among older patients with AIS. Five parameters of Accuracy, Recall, F1 Score, AUC and Precision were compared between the two models. The medical decision-making delay rate in older patients with AIS was 74.76
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Key words
Older patients,Stroke,Acute ischemic stroke,Medical decision-making delay,Logistic regression analysis,LightGBM algorithm
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