History of Ceres's Cold Traps Based on Refined Shape Models

Permanently shadowed regions (PSRs) in the north polar region of Ceres have been previously mapped by the Dawn spacecraft. Putative ice deposits are found in some of these PSRs, whereas most PSRs host no bright deposits, which is thought to be due to oscillations of the axis tilt with a similar to 25 ka period. We use stereophotoclinometry to construct refined topographic models of PSR-hosting craters. Ray-tracing calculations reveal that no PSRs remain at the maximum axis tilt, which implies that the ice deposits are remarkably young. The bright ice deposits do not extend beyond PSRs at an axis tilt of 10 degrees, which last occurred about 6 ka ago. This suggests that water is delivered to the polar regions or exposed within the craters by frequent and short-lived events. Surface temperatures are calculated with a terrain irradiance model to delineate cold traps. Based on maximum equilibrium temperatures, Cerean PSRs are too warm to trap supervolatiles.