Stratified Patient Profiling for Vedolizumab Effectiveness in Crohn’s Disease: Identifying Optimal Subgroups for Enhanced Treatment Response in the EVOLVE Study

This analysis evaluated the relative performance of vedolizumab and anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha (anti-TNFα) agents in subpopulations of biologic therapy-naive patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) and assessed whether patients in whom vedolizumab would have a larger treatment effect vs anti-TNFα agents could be identified. Data were from EVOLVE, a real-world, multicountry, retrospective cohort study of patients with inflammatory bowel disease who initiated first-line biologic treatment with vedolizumab (n = 195) or anti-TNFα agents (n = 245). Prediction models for time to clinical remission were developed in vedolizumab- and anti-TNFα-treated patients and used to estimate effect scores, a metric of predicted comparative efficacy, for each patient. Patients were ranked by effect scores and potential subpopulations were investigated. Simplified rules to identify these subpopulations were also developed using classification tree analysis. Among all patients, median time to clinical remission was 7.8 months (vedolizumab) and 11.1 months (anti-TNFα) (P < 0.05). Among patients in the top 40