Comprehensive quantitative determination of aquifer confinement based on tidal response of well water level and its application in North China.

Aquifer confinement represents a pivotal property that significantly influences the vulnerability and contamination risk of groundwater resources. Several methods have been proposed for determining aquifer confinement by analyzing the response of well water level to Earth tides and atmospheric tides. In this study, we evaluated the performance of the existing single methods and put forward an optimized comprehensive approach. We compared the determination results of the three single methods with those of a comprehensive method using water-level data from 39 earthquake precursor monitoring wells in North China. The results demonstrate that the comprehensive method effectively determined aquifer confinement, significantly reducing the uncertainty associated with the three single methods. The application of the comprehensive method in North China reveals that aquifer confinement may undergo temporal variations during long-term continuous observation, especially in areas where the confining properties of aquifers may vary due to human activities and earthquakes. In such areas, the comprehensive method facilitates accurate assessment of groundwater vulnerability, as well as the potential dispersion of underground pollutants.