Pathologic and cognitive correlates of plasma biomarkers in neurodegenerative disease

INTRODUCTION: We investigate pathological correlates of plasma phosphorylated tau 181 (p-tau181), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and neurofilament light chain (NfL) across a clinically diverse spectrum of neurodegenerative disease, including normal cognition (NormCog) and impaired cognition (ImpCog). METHODS: Participants were NormCog (n = 132) and ImpCog (n = 461), with confirmed beta-amyloid (A beta+/-) status (cerebrospinal fluid, positron emission tomography, autopsy) and single molecule array plasma measurements. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) tested how combining plasma analytes discriminated A beta+ from A beta-. Survival analyses tested time to clinical dementia rating (global CDR) progression. RESULTS: Multivariable models (p-tau+GFAP+NfL) had the best performance to detect A beta+ in NormCog (ROCAUC = 0.87) and ImpCog (ROCAUC = 0.87). Survival analyses demonstrated that higher NfL best predicted faster CDR progression for both A beta+ (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.94; p = 8.1e-06) and A beta- individuals (HR = 3.11; p = 2.6e-09). DISCUSSION: Combining plasma biomarkers can optimize detection of Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology across cognitively normal and clinically diverse neurodegenerative disease.