CT-based radiomics for predicting pathological grade in hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective To construct and validate radiomics models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) grade predictions based on contrast-enhanced CT (CECT).Methods Patients with pathologically confirmed HCC after surgery and underwent CECT at our institution between January 2016 and December 2020 were enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation datasets. With tumor segmentation and feature extraction, radiomic models were constructed using univariate analysis, followed by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. In addition, combined models with clinical factors and radiomics scores (Radscore) were constructed using logistic regression. Finally, all models were evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).Results In total 242 patients were enrolled in this study, of whom 170 and 72 formed the training and validation datasets, respectively. The arterial phase and portal venous phase (AP+VP) radiomics model were evaluated as the best for predicting HCC pathological grade among all the models built in our study (AUC = 0.981 in the training dataset; AUC = 0.842 in the validation dataset) and was used to build a nomogram. Furthermore, the calibration curve and DCA indicated that the AP+VP radiomics model had a satisfactory prediction efficiency.Conclusions Low- and high-grade HCC can be distinguished with good diagnostic performance using a CECT-based radiomics model.