Effectiveness of injection protocols for hydraulic stimulation in enhanced geothermal systems

To harness the immense potential of geothermal energy for non-intermittent baseload power, low-permeability crystalline hot rocks need to be hydraulically stimulated to create Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) that enable economically profitable fluid flow rates. However, hydraulic stimulation is usually associated with seismic activity that has led to project cancellation in a few occasions. To improve our understanding of the coupled hydro-mechanical (HM) processes behind stimulation during both injection and post-injection stages (after shut-in), we numerically analyze three different stimulation protocols: constant-rate, step-rate, and cyclic injection with and without bleed-off after shut-in (and between cycles for the cyclic protocol). Simulation results show that the injection protocol has a higher influence on the HM response of the fracture than the total volume of injected water, which challenge scaling laws that relate the injection volume with the expected maximum magnitude of the induced earthquakes. The trade-off between maximizing permeability enhancement, while minimizing induced seismicity is not straightforward. In particular, bleeding-off the well after injection restricts induced seismicity, but at the expenses of limiting permeability enhancement. When considering stimulation of a single fault, all protocols yield comparable slip rates and, thus, magnitude of the induced earthquake, with the constant-rate injection being the fastest to induce the largest earthquake. The small differences in the HM response to hydraulic stimulation do not permit identifying a protocol that performs better than the others.