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A combined nomogram based on radiomics and hematology to predict the pathological complete response of neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Yu Yang,Yan Yi,Zhongtang Wang, Shanshan Li,Bin Zhang, Zheng Sang, Lili Zhang,Qiang Cao,Baosheng Li

BMC Cancer(2024)

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摘要
To predict pathological complete response (pCR) in patients receiving neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT) for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), we explored the factors that influence pCR after nICT and established a combined nomogram model. We retrospectively included 164 ESCC patients treated with nICT. The radiomics signature and hematology model were constructed utilizing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and the radiomics score (radScore) and hematology score (hemScore) were determined for each patient. Using the radScore, hemScore, and independent influencing factors obtained through univariate and multivariate analyses, a combined nomogram was established. The consistency and prediction ability of the nomogram were assessed utilizing calibration curve and the area under the receiver operating factor curve (AUC), and the clinical benefits were assessed utilizing decision curve analysis (DCA). We constructed three predictive models.The AUC values of the radiomics signature and hematology model reached 0.874 (95
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关键词
Pathological complete response,Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy,Nomogram,Radiomics,Hematology,Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
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