What Is the Economic Benefit of Annual COVID-19 Vaccination From the Adult Individual Perspective?

Sarah M. Bartsch,Kelly J. O'Shea, Colleen Weatherwax,Ulrich Strych, Kavya Velmurugan, Danielle C. John,Maria Elena Bottazzi, Mustafa Hussein,Marie F. Martinez,Kevin L. Chin, Allan Ciciriello, Jessie Heneghan, Alexis Dibbs,Sheryl A. Scannell,Peter J. Hotez,Bruce Y. Lee

JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES(2024)

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Abstract
Background With coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination no longer mandated by many businesses/organizations, it is now up to individuals to decide whether to get any new boosters/updated vaccines going forward.Methods We developed a Markov model representing the potential clinical/economic outcomes from an individual perspective in the United States of getting versus not getting an annual COVID-19 vaccine.Results For an 18-49 year old, getting vaccinated at its current price ($60) can save the individual on average $30-$603 if the individual is uninsured and $4-$437 if the individual has private insurance, as long as the starting vaccine efficacy against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is >= 50% and the weekly risk of getting infected is >= 0.2%, corresponding to an individual interacting with 9 other people in a day under Winter 2023-2024 Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant conditions with an average infection prevalence of 10%. For a 50-64 year old, these cost-savings increase to $111-$1278 and $119-$1706 for someone without and with insurance, respectively. The risk threshold increases to >= 0.4% (interacting with 19 people/day), when the individual has 13.4% preexisting protection against infection (eg, vaccinated 9 months earlier).Conclusions There is both clinical and economic incentive for the individual to continue to get vaccinated against COVID-19 each year. Our study shows that annual COVID-19 vaccination is net cost-saving from the adult individual perspective over the course of a year, and thus provides support for individuals to get the COVID-19 vaccine, even if they must pay out-of-pocket.
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Key words
COVID-19,vaccination,booster,individual,economic,model
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