Do Crowdsourced Fairness Preferences Correlate with Risk Perceptions?

With the increasing prevalence of automatic decision-making systems, concerns regarding the fairness of these systems also arise. Without a universally agreed-upon definition of fairness, given an automated decision-making scenario, researchers often adopt a crowdsourced approach to solicit people’s preferences across multiple fairness definitions. However, it is often found that crowdsourced fairness preferences are highly context-dependent, making it intriguing to explore the driving factors behind these preferences. One plausible hypothesis is that people’s fairness preferences reflect their perceived risk levels for different decision-making mistakes, such that the fairness definition that equalizes across groups the type of mistakes that are perceived as most serious will be preferred. To test this conjecture, we conduct a human-subject study (N = 213) to study people’s fairness perceptions in three societal contexts. In particular, these three societal contexts differ on the expected level of risk associated with different types of decision mistakes, and we elicit both people’s fairness preferences and risk perceptions for each context. Our results show that people can often distinguish between different levels of decision risks across different societal contexts. However, we find that people’s fairness preferences do not vary significantly across the three selected societal contexts, except for within a certain subgroup of people (e.g., people with a certain racial background). As such, we observe minimal evidence suggesting that people’s risk perceptions of decision mistakes correlate with their fairness preference. These results highlight that fairness preferences are highly subjective and nuanced, and they might be primarily affected by factors other than the perceived risks of decision mistakes.