Real-world walking behaviors are associated with early-stage heart failure: a Project Baseline Health Study

Background Data collected via wearables may complement in-clinic assessments to monitor subclinical heart failure (HF). Objectives Evaluate the association of sensor-based digital walking measures with HF stage and characterize their correlation with in-clinic measures of physical performance, cardiac function and participant reported outcomes (PROs) in individuals with early HF. Methods The analyzable cohort included participants from the Project Baseline Health Study (PBHS) with HF stage 0, A, or B, or adaptive remodeling phenotype (without risk factors but with mild echocardiographic change, termed RF-/ECHO+) (based on available first-visit in-clinic test and echocardiogram results) and with sufficient sensor data. We computed daily values per participant for 18 digital walking measures, comparing HF subgroups vs stage 0 using multinomial logistic regression and characterizing associations with in-clinic measures and PROs with Spearman's correlation coefficients, adjusting all analyses for confounders. Results In the analyzable cohort (N=1265; 50.6% of the PBHS cohort), one standard deviation decreases in 17/18 walking measures were associated with greater likelihood for stage-B HF (multivariable-adjusted odds ratios [ORs] vs stage 0 ranging from 1.18-2.10), or A (ORs vs stage 0, 1.07-1.45), and lower likelihood for RF-/ECHO+ (ORs vs stage 0, 0.80-0.93). Peak 30-minute pace demonstrated the strongest associations with stage B (OR vs stage 0=2.10; 95% CI:1.74-2.53) and A (OR vs stage 0=1.43; 95% CI:1.23-1.66). Decreases in 13/18 measures were associated with greater likelihood for stage-B HF vs stage A. Strength of correlation with physical performance tests, echocardiographic cardiac-remodeling and dysfunction indices and PROs was greatest in stage B, then A, and lowest for 0. Conclusions Digital measures of walking captured by wearable sensors could complement clinic-based testing to identify and monitor pre-symptomatic HF.