Adversarially-Robust Inference on Trees via Belief Propagation
arxiv(2024)
摘要
We introduce and study the problem of posterior inference on tree-structured
graphical models in the presence of a malicious adversary who can corrupt some
observed nodes. In the well-studied broadcasting on trees model, corresponding
to the ferromagnetic Ising model on a d-regular tree with zero external
field, when a natural signal-to-noise ratio exceeds one (the celebrated
Kesten-Stigum threshold), the posterior distribution of the root given the
leaves is bounded away from Ber(1/2), and carries nontrivial
information about the sign of the root. This posterior distribution can be
computed exactly via dynamic programming, also known as belief propagation.
We first confirm a folklore belief that a malicious adversary who can corrupt
an inverse-polynomial fraction of the leaves of their choosing makes this
inference impossible. Our main result is that accurate posterior inference
about the root vertex given the leaves is possible when the adversary is
constrained to make corruptions at a ρ-fraction of randomly-chosen leaf
vertices, so long as the signal-to-noise ratio exceeds O(log d) and ρ≤ c ε for some universal c > 0. Since inference becomes
information-theoretically impossible when ρ≫ε, this amounts
to an information-theoretically optimal fraction of corruptions, up to a
constant multiplicative factor. Furthermore, we show that the canonical belief
propagation algorithm performs this inference.
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