Quantifying the tropospheric ozone radiative effect and its temporal evolution in the satellite era

ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS(2024)

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Abstract
Using state-of-the-art satellite ozone profile products, and a chemical transport model, we provide an updated estimate of the tropospheric ozone radiative effect (TO 3 RE) and observational constraint on its variability over the decade 2008-2017. Previous studies have shown the short-term (i.e. a few years) globally weighted average TO 3 RE to be 1.17 +/- 0.03 W m - 2 . However, from our analysis, using decadal (2008-2017) ozone profile datasets from the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer, average TO 3 RE ranges between 1.21 and 1.26 W m - 2 . Over this decade, the modelled and observational TO 3 RE linear trends show a negligible change (e.g. +/- 0.1 % yr - 1 ). Two model sensitivity experiments fixing emissions and meteorology to 1 year (i.e. start year - 2008) show that temporal changes in ozone precursor emissions (increasing contribution) and meteorological factors (decreasing contribution) have counteracting tendencies, leading to a negligible globally weighted average TO 3 RE trend.
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