Characteristics of geothermal field and tectono-thermal evolution in Baiyun Sag, Pearl River Mouth Basin, China

Baiyun Sag has become the primary focus of deepwater exploration in the Pearl River Mouth Basin. However, its complex and high-variate geothermal characteristics have severely constrained further oil and gas exploration and resource evaluation. In this study, the present-day geothermal field and tectono-thermal evolution histories of Baiyun Sag were systematically studied based on measured rock thermal conductivity and heat generation data, borehole temperatures, low-temperature thermochronometer analyses, and geodynamic methodologies. The thermal conductivity of 251 core samples ranges from 1.131 to 4.478 W/(m·K), with an average of 2.258 W/(m·K), while the heat generation rate of 106 samples ranges from 0.868 to 1.735 μW/m³, averaging 1.499 μW/m³. The thermal conductivity in Baiyun Sag exhibits a gradual decrease from the Wenchang Formation to the Hanjiang Formation, whereas the heat generation rate decreases with depth. The present-day heat flow in Baiyun Sag ranges from 66.6 to 139.1 mW/m2, with an average of 89.7 ± 14.7 mW/m2, showing a gradual increasing trend from northwest to southeast. Formation temperature at depths of 1–5 km increases proportionally with depth. Thermal inversion, as inferred from low-temperature thermochronological data of six basement samples, reveals distinct temperature paths for each tectonic unit in Baiyun Sag. These paths are primarily linked to regional tectonic uplift-subsidence and basement heat flow variation. Geodynamic simulations further indicate two extensional events in Baiyun Sag during the Eocene and Middle Miocene, leading to a rapid increase in basement heat flow. This study systematically elucidates the present-day geothermal field characteristics and tectono-thermal evolution history of Baiyun Sag, bearing significant implications for regional tectonic evolution and future deepwater oil and gas explorations.