Explainable 3D CNN based on baseline breast DCE-MRI to give an early prediction of pathological complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Background So far, baseline Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging (DCE-MRI) has played a key role for the application of sophisticated artificial intelligence-based models using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to extract quantitative imaging information as earlier indicators of pathological Complete Response (pCR) achievement in breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). However, these models did not exploit the DCE-MRI exams in their full geometry as 3D volume but analysed only few individual slices independently, thus neglecting the depth information. Method This study aimed to develop an explainable 3D CNN, which fulfilled the task of pCR prediction before the beginning of NAC, by leveraging the 3D information of post-contrast baseline breast DCE-MRI exams. Specifically, for each patient, the network took in input a 3D sequence containing the tumor region, which was previously automatically identified along the DCE-MRI exam. A visual explanation of the decision-making process of the network was also provided. Results To the best of our knowledge, our proposal is competitive than other models in the field, which made use of imaging data alone, reaching a median AUC value of 81.8%, 95%CI [75.3%; 88.3%], a median accuracy value of 78.7%, 95%CI [74.8%; 82.5%], a median sensitivity value of 69.8%, 95%CI [59.6%; 79.9%] and a median specificity value of 83.3%, 95%CI [82.6%; 84.0%], respectively. The median and CIs were computed according to a 10-fold cross-validation scheme for 5 rounds. Conclusion Finally, this proposal holds high potential to support clinicians on non-invasively early pursuing or changing patient-centric NAC pathways.