Association of Depressive Symptoms with Cardiovascular Events and Plasma BNP: A Prospective Cohort Study of the Elderly Chinese Population

Objective To estimate the prevalence of depressive symptoms and to evaluate the associations of mild and significant depressive symptoms with cardiovascular events and plasma BNP levels (which are surrogate endpoints for cardiovascular events) among older adults in a population-based study. Methods A population-based prospective study of 1,432 elderly people (aged 70-84 years and without cardiovascular disease) was conducted, and the median duration of follow-up for participants with outcomes was 18 weeks. Depressive symptoms were assessed with the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS-15). The hazard ratios (HRs) for the time to events and time to death were calculated using the Cox regression analysis. Multiple linear regression models and Spearman rank correlations were used to examine the association of depressive symptoms with Log BNP values. Results The prevalence of mild (GDS-15 scores ≥ 6) and significant (GDS-15 scores ≥ 10) depressive symptoms were 7.3% and 2.0% at baseline, respectively. Older adults with significant depressive symptoms exhibited increased risks of time to death (HR: 12.56; 95% CI: 3.58-43.99) and composite cardiovascular endpoints (HR: 3.46; 95% CI: 1.19-3.75). Significant depressive symptoms were associated with Log BNP levels (β=0.56, P=0.02). Depressive symptom scores were also associated with Log BNP levels (rs=0.21, P=0.04) in the older adults with depressive symptoms. Conclusions Significant depressive symptoms were associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular events and higher BNP levels in the elderly.