Marine aquaculture spatial planning on market orientation for Pacific oyster in Shandong, China

Accessing the production value is essential to the selection of suitable sites for aquaculture farms. This study employed a Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) model and used market-oriented indicators, including shell length, flesh weight, condition index and minimum farming duration, to analyze the suitability for Pacific oyster aquaculture in offshore Shandong, China. Chlorophyll a (Chl-a) concentration, Total Suspended Sediment (TSS) concentration, and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) were extracted by remote sensing and used as forcing variables in the bioenergetic model. Four market-oriented indicators and five zones in the study area were chosen to develop a Suitable Market-Aquaculture site-selection model (SMASM) and estimate the oyster farming suitability. The results demonstrated that Sanggou Bay exhibits high potential for Pacific oyster year-round aquaculture. Eastern Laizhou Bay is suitable for the autumn-spring fattening culture of adult oysters. Laoshan Bay and Changshan Islands are suitable for promoting rapid growth in juvenile oysters. The results of our model were consistent with the oyster production value in Shandong, showing an overall increasing trend except for the anomalous value observed in 2019. Sudden drops in water temperature, red tides, and significant increases in turbidity can exert detrimental effects on oyster production, which has been evidenced to be influenced by Super Typhoon Lekima in 2019. Although this study concentrated on a specific geographical region, the model could be applied to other regions to develop market-oriented suitability management for species and environments worldwide.