Comparative analysis of recent seismic and volcanic events in the Tonga-Kermadec zone: Insights into Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling

The Tonga-Kermadec zone stands out as one of the most active areas in the world for continuous subduction processes characterizing the area. In the recent few years, it has been affected by two important geophysical events: first a strong earthquake of M7.2 on June 15, 2019, with the epicentre in Kermadec Islands (New Zealand), and then an exceptional eruption of Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai volcano on January 15, 2022. We focused our attention on the phenomena appearing before, during and soon after each event, employing a multi-parametric and multi-layer approach in order to analyse the geodynamics of the entire area and the involved lithosphere-atmosphere-ionosphere coupling (LAIC). In details, for the lithosphere we conducted a seismic analysis of the earthquake sequence culminating with the mainshock on June 15, 2019, and of those preceding the big eruption, within a circular area with Dobrovolsky strain radius corresponding to that of an equivalent seismic event of magnitude equal to the energy released during the eruption. Moving to the atmosphere, we considered some parameters possibly influenced by seismic and volcanic events, using the CAPRI algorithm to the ECMWF datasets to detect anomalies in their values. Finally, by observing satellite data, we analysed the magnetic field and electron burst precipitations, potentially correlated to the events. All these observations, along with their similarities and differences, provide a better insight of the complex tectonic context.