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High-spatial resolution ground-level ozone in Yunnan, China: A spatiotemporal estimation based on comparative analyses of machine learning models

Xingwei Man,Rui Liu,Yu Zhang, Weiqiang Yu, Fanhao Kong, Li Liu,Yan Luo,Tao Feng

ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH(2024)

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Abstract
Monitoring ground-level ozone concentrations is a critical aspect of atmospheric environmental studies. Given the existing limitations of satellite data products, especially the lack of ground-level ozone characterization, and the discontinuity of ground observations, there is a pressing need for high-precision models to simulate ground-level ozone to assess surface ozone pollution. In this study, we have compared several widely utilized ensemble learning and deep learning methods for ground-level ozone simulation. Furthermore, we have thoroughly contrasted the temporal and spatial generalization performances of the ensemble learning and deep learning models. The 3-Dimensional Convolutional Neural Network (3-D CNN) model has emerged as the optimal choice for evaluating the daily maximum 8-h average ozone in Yunnan Province. The model has good performance: a spatial resolution of 0.05 degrees x 0.05 degrees and strong predictive power, as indicated by a Coefficient of Determination (R-2) of 0.83 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 12.54 mu g/m(3) in sample-based 5-fold cross-validation (CV). In the final stage of our study, we applied the 3-D CNN model to generate a comprehensive daily maximum 8-h average ozone dataset for Yunnan Province for the year 2021. This application has furnished us with a crucial high-resolution and highly accurate dataset for further in-depth studies on the issue of ozone pollution in Yunnan Province.
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Key words
Ground-level ozone,Yunnan,Ensemble learning,Deep learning,Temporal and spatial CV
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