Numerical upscaling of anisotropic failure criteria in heterogeneous reservoirs

With advances in characterizing the reservoir heterogeneities and modeling the complex reservoirgeomechanical behavior using modern geological modeling software and simulators, the impact of geological uncertainties on reservoir-geomechanical responses has drawn increasing attention for an improved engineering design and decision makings in subsurface developments. Robust and efficient upscaling techniques for heterogeneous reservoirs have emerged as the key to enable field-scale reservoir-geomechanical assessments while consider the impact of lithological heterogeneities like weak bedding planes. The proposed upscaling technique is based on local continuum geomechanical simulations with user-defined boundary conditions on each upscaled region, thus, it can reproduce the anisotropic stress-dependent failure criteria caused by sub-grid scale heterogeneities. This upscaling technique is applied in a reservoir-geomechanical simulation of a steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) project and reduces the computational time by 94%. The complex thermal-hydro-mechanical (THM) interactions in SAGD, including temperature, pressure, saturation fields, surface heave, and plastic strain, are well reproduced by the upscaled model. The minimum factor of safety (FOS) of the caprock for potential shear failure in a field-scale SAGD case study with multilayer caprocks is also reasonably matched by the upscaled model. The improved computational efficiency and reasonable accuracy of the upscaled model can be a useful tool to investigate the impact of injection pressures on production performance and caprock integrity for decision making of SAGD. Moreover, this method addresses the enduring problem of finding anisotropic failure criteria for heterogeneous reservoirs, bridging the gap between computational efficiency and the desire to consider detailed geological features in geomechanical modeling of larger domains. The improved computational efficiency and reasonable accuracy of upscaled models enable reliability analysis and uncertainty quantification for geomechanical analyses that require numerous realizations with complex geology.