Enumeration potential of environmental DNA for Pacific salmon stock assessments

AbstractThe field of environmental DNA (eDNA) has advanced over the past decade, with multiple approaches available for a variety of sampling media and species. While using eDNA for the purpose of simply detecting species is becoming a routine process, the utility of eDNA to estimate species abundance is not well understood. Here, we quantify salmon environmental DNA upstream of a fish counting fence along with river velocity, and together, use these values to determine the correlation between the number of salmon passing by the fish fence daily with daily eDNA rates in water before, during, and after the salmon spawning season for four Pacific salmonids (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, O. kisutch, O. tshawytscha, and O. nerka; pink, coho, chinook, and sockeye, respectively). Throughout the spawning season, approximately 182,000 salmon were counted passing through the fence, of which >98% were pink salmon. Pink salmon exhibited strong correlation between human counts (effect size = 0.65, SE = 0.040) to eDNA rates in the present study and exhibited day‐to‐day variation and a unimodal profile rising and falling with human fish counts. However, the salmon species observed in much lower numbers exhibited a much weaker correlation with eDNA levels higher during the pre‐migratory period than during the migratory period for sockeye, coho, and chinook. Thus, for salmon spawning runs with less than ~1000 adults and daily counts of less than ~100, the juvenile and/or prior seasons eDNA signal appears to be indistinguishable from the adult spawning eDNA signal in our river system. However, for the large pink salmon run, eDNA rates appeared to reflect a local signal of salmon in space and time, essentially tracking these fish within days of passing through the eDNA sampling site.