Radiological usual interstitial pneumonia pattern is associated with two-year mortality in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Introduction: The new diagnostic guidelines for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) did not rule out the possibility of combining the radiological patterns of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) and probable UIP, given the similar management and diagnostic capacity. However, the prognostic implications of these patterns have not been fully elucidated, with different studies showing heterogeneous results. We applied the new criteria to a retrospective series of patients with IPF, assessing survival based on radiological patterns, findings, and their extension. Methods: Two thoracic radiologists reviewed high-resolution computed tomography images taken at diagnosis in 146 patients with IPF, describing the radiological findings and patterns. The association of each radiological finding and radiological patterns with two-year mortality was analysed. Results: The two-year mortality rate was 40.2% in IPF patients with an UIP radiological pattern versus 7.1% in those with probable UIP. Compared to the UIP pattern, probable UIP was protective against mortality, even after adjusting for age, sex, pulmonary function, and extent of fibrosis (hazard ratio (HR) 0.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.06-0.99). Receiving antifibrotic treatment was also a protective factor (HR 0.51, 95%CI 0.27-0.98). Honeycombing (HR 3.62, 95%CI 1.27-10.32), an acute exacerbation pattern (HR 4.07, 95%CI 1.84-8.96), and the overall extent of fibrosis (HR 1.04, 95%CI 1.02-1.06) were predictors of mortality. Conclusions: In our series, two-year mortality was higher in patients with IPF who presented a radiological pattern of UIP versus probable UIP on the initial scan. Honeycombing, an acute exacerbation pattern, and a greater overall extent of fibrosis were also predictors of increased mortality. The prognostic differences between the radiological pattern of UIP and probable UIP in our series would support maintaining them as two differentiated patterns.