Increased PI3K pathway activity is associated with recurrent breast cancer in patients with low and intermediate 21-gene recurrence score

Aims We investigated key signalling pathways' activity and mutational status of early-stage breast carcinomas with low and intermediate 21-gene recurrence score (RS) to identify molecular features that may predict recurrence. Methods This is a retrospective case-control study of 18 patients with recurrent breast carcinoma with low and intermediate 21-gene RS (<25) and control group of 15 non-recurrent breast cancer patients. DNA and mRNA were extracted from tumour tissue. mRNA expression of genes involved in oestrogen receptor (ER), androgen receptor (AR), PI3K and MAPK signalling pathways was measured by real-time quantitative reverse transcription-qPCR (OncoSIGNal G4 test, InnoSIGN). Tumour mutational landscape was assessed by targeted DNA sequencing (Oncomine Precision Assay). Results There were no statistical differences between the groups' demographic and clinicopathological characteristics. PI3K pathway showed significantly higher activity in cases compared with controls (p=0.0014). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed an area under the curve of 0.79 for PI3K pathway activity in the prediction of recurrent disease in low and intermediate 21-gene RS breast cancer. There was no difference in ER, AR and MAPK pathway activity. PIK3CA alterations were the most common driver mutations, but no difference was found between the groups (p=0.46) and no association with PI3K pathway activity (p=0.86). Higher Ki67 gene expression was associated with recurrences (p=0.042) Conclusion Increased PI3K pathway activity, independent of PIK3CA mutations, may play a role in the recurrence of early-stage breast cancer with low and intermediate 21-gene RS. Pathway analysis can help to identify high-risk patients in this setting.