Do Mental Health Symptoms during the Pandemic Predict University Non-Completion in a Sample of UK Students? A Prospective Study

Mental health symptoms are highly prevalent in university students and have been further exacerbated following the COVID-19 pandemic. The aim of this study was to examine the prospective prediction of five mental health symptoms (anxiety, depression, insomnia, suicidality, substance misuse risk) on university non-completion. Baseline data were collected between July and September 2020 following the first UK lockdown and prior to the 2020/2021 academic year. Univariate binary logistic regression analyses were performed using data from 147 participants who were due to graduate at the end of the 2020/2021 academic year. Only substance misuse risk was found to predict university non-completion, with students with a higher risk of substance misuse more likely to not complete their university course. There appears to be an association between substance misuse risk and university non-completion; however, this was attenuated once study characteristic covariates (study level, changes in study hours and study engagement) were included, indicating possible associations between these variables. Future research should further consider the role of substance use in this population and the relationship with study characteristics, engagement and university completion.