ICP wave morphology as a screening test to exclude intracranial hypertension in brain-injured patients: a non-invasive perspective

Intracranial hypertension (IH) is a life-threating condition especially for the brain injured patient. In such cases, an external ventricular drain (EVD) or an intraparenchymal bolt are the conventional gold standard for intracranial pressure (ICPi) monitoring. However, these techniques have several limitations. Therefore, identifying an ideal screening method for IH is important to avoid the unnecessary placement of ICPi and expedite its introduction in patients who require it. A potential screening tool is the ICP wave morphology (ICPW) which changes according to the intracranial volume-pressure curve. Specifically, the P2/P1 ratio of the ICPW has shown promise as a triage test to indicate normal ICP. In this study, we propose evaluating the noninvasive ICPW (nICPW—B4C sensor) as a screening method for ICPi monitoring in patients with moderate to high probability of IH. This is a retrospective analysis of a prospective, multicenter study that recruited adult patients requiring ICPi monitoring from both Federal University of São Paulo and University of São Paulo Medical School Hospitals. ICPi values and the nICPW parameters were obtained from both the invasive and the noninvasive methods simultaneously 5 min after the closure of the EVD drainage. ICP assessment was performed using a catheter inserted into the ventricle and connected to a pressure transducer and a drainage system. The B4C sensor was positioned on the patient’s scalp without the need for trichotomy, surgical incision or trepanation, and the morphology of the ICP waves acquired through a strain sensor that can detect and monitor skull bone deformations caused by changes in ICP. All patients were monitored using this noninvasive system for at least 10 min per session. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to describe discriminatory power of the P2/P1 ratio for IH, with emphasis in the Negative Predictive value (NPV), based on the Youden index, and the negative likelihood ratio [LR-]. Recruitment occurred from August 2017 to March 2020. A total of 69 patients fulfilled inclusion and exclusion criteria in the two centers and a total of 111 monitorizations were performed. The mean P2/P1 ratio value in the sample was 1.12. The mean P2/P1 value in the no IH population was 1.01 meanwhile in the IH population was 1.32 ( p < 0.01). The best Youden index for the mean P2/P1 ratio was with a cut-off value of 1.13 showing a sensitivity of 93%, specificity of 60%, and a NPV of 97%, as well as an AUC of 0.83 to predict IH. With the 1.13 cut-off value for P2/P1 ratio, the LR- for IH was 0.11, corresponding to a strong performance in ruling out the condition (IH), with an approximate 45% reduction in condition probability after a negative test (ICPW). To conclude, the P2/P1 ratio of the noninvasive ICP waveform showed in this study a high Negative Predictive Value and Likelihood Ratio in different acute neurological conditions to rule out IH. As a result, this parameter may be beneficial in situations where invasive methods are not feasible or unavailable and to screen high-risk patients for potential invasive ICP monitoring. Trial registration: At clinicaltrials.gov under numbers NCT05121155 (Registered 16 November 2021—retrospectively registered) and NCT03144219 (Registered 30 September 2022—retrospectively registered).