Increased Risk of Recurrent Stroke in Symptomatic Large Vessel Disease With Impaired BOLD Cerebrovascular Reactivity

BACKGROUND: Impaired cerebrovascular reactivity (CVR) has been correlated with recurrent ischemic stroke. However, for clinical purposes, most CVR techniques are rather complex, time-consuming, and lack validation for quantitative measurements. The recent adaptation of a standardized hypercapnic stimulus in combination with a blood-oxygenation-level-dependent (BOLD) magnetic resonance imaging signal as a surrogate for cerebral blood flow offers a potential universally comparable CVR assessment. We investigated the association between impaired BOLD-CVR and risk for recurrent ischemic events. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients with symptomatic cerebrovascular large vessel disease who had undergone a prospective hypercapnic-challenged BOLD-CVR protocol at a single tertiary stroke referral center between June 2014 and April 2020. These patients were followed up for recurrent acute ischemic events for up to 3 years. BOLD-CVR (%BOLD signal change per mm Hg CO2) was calculated on a voxel-by-voxel basis. Impaired BOLD-CVR of the affected (ipsilateral to the vascular pathology) hemisphere was defined as an average BOLD-CVR, falling 2 SD below the mean BOLD-CVR of the right hemisphere in a healthy age-matched reference cohort (n=20). Using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, the association between impaired BOLD-CVR and ischemic stroke recurrence was assessed and Kaplan-Meier survival curves to visualize the acute ischemic stroke event rate. RESULTS: Of 130 eligible patients, 28 experienced recurrent strokes (median, 85 days, interquartile range, 5-166 days). Risk factors associated with an increased recurrent stroke rate included impaired BOLD-CVR, a history of atrial fibrillation, and heart insufficiency. After adjusting for sex, age group, and atrial fibrillation, impaired BOLD-CVR exhibited a hazard ratio of 10.73 (95% CI, 4.14-27.81; P<0.001) for recurrent ischemic stroke. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with symptomatic cerebrovascular large vessel disease, those exhibiting impaired BOLD-CVR in the affected hemisphere had a 10.7-fold higher risk of recurrent ischemic stroke events compared with individuals with nonimpaired BOLD-CVR.