Estimated glucose disposal rate predicts the risk of diabetic peripheral neuropathy in type 2 diabetes: A 5-year follow-up study

Background: Insulin resistance is associated with chronic complications of diabetes, including diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN). Estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR), calculated by the common available clinical factors, was proved to be an excellent tool to measure insulin resistance in large patient population. Few studies have explored the association between eGDR and DPN longitudinally. Therefore, we performed the current study to analyze whether eGDR could predict the risk of DPN.Methods: In this prospective study, 366 type 2 diabetes (T2DM) subjects without DPN were enrolled from six communities in Shanghai in 2011-2014 and followed up until 2019-2020. Neuropathy was assessed by Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MSNI) at baseline and at the end of follow-up.Findings: After 5.91 years, 198 of 366 participants progressed to DPN according to MNSI examination scores. The incidence of DPN in the low baseline eGDR (eGDR < 9.15) group was significantly higher than in the high baseline eGDR (eGDR >= 9.15) group (62.37% vs. 45.56%, p = .0013). The incidence of DPN was significantly higher in patients with sustained lower eGDR level (63.69%) compared with those with sustained higher eGDR level (35.80%). Subjects with low baseline eGDR (eGDR < 9.15) had significantly higher risk of DPN at the end of follow-up (odds ratio = 1.75), even after adjusting for other known DPN risk factors.Conclusions: The 5-year follow-up study highlights the importance of insulin resistance represented by eGDR in the development of DPN in T2DM. Diabetic patients with low eGDR are more prone to DPN and, therefore, require more intensive screening and more attention.