The prognostic effect of radiological extranodal extension in HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinomas: a retrospective cohort analysis

Purpose Radiological extranodal extension (rENE) is a well-known negative prognosticator in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). However, controversy remains regarding the prognostic effect of rENE in HPV-positive oropharyngeal SCCs (OPSCC). This single-center retrospective cohort analysis assessed the prognostic role of rENE in an HPV + OPSCC population and tried to validate a recently proposed modification of the TNM8 N-classification. Methods 129 patients with HPV + OPSCC, of whom 106 cN + patients, were included. Radiological imaging (CT, MRI or both) was reanalyzed by a senior head and neck radiologist. Overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS), and disease-specific survival (DSS) were evaluated. Cox proportional hazard models were used for estimating hazard ratios (HR). Results A non-significant trend towards better outcomes in the rENE– group, as compared to the rENE + population, was observed for 5 year OS [80.99% vs 68.70%, HR: 2.05, p = 0.160], 5 year RFS [78.81% vs 67.87%, HR: 1.91, p = 0.165], 5 year DFS [77.06% vs 60.16%, HR: 2.12, p = 0.0824] and 5 year DSS [88.83% vs 81.93%, HR: 2.09, p = 0.195]. OS declined with ascending levels of rENE ( p = 0.020). Multivariate analysis identified cT-classification and smoking as independent negative predictors for OS/DFS. The proposed modification of the TNM8 N-classification could not be validated. Conclusions Although rENE could not be identified as an independent negative prognosticator for outcome in our HPV + OPSCC population, outcomes tend to deteriorate with increasing rENE.