Global epidemiology of early-onset liver cancer attributable to specific aetiologies and risk factors from 2010 to 2019

JOURNAL OF GLOBAL HEALTH(2023)

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摘要
Background Considering its emergence as a public health concern world-wide, with potential spatial-temporal heterogeneities, we aimed to deter-mine the global burden of early-onset liver cancer attributable to aetiologies and concomitant risk factors.Methods We used data from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019 to determine agestandardised disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) rates for early-onset liver cancer by aetiologies and the population DALYs attributable to concomitant risk factors between 2010 and 2019. We also calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) to measure temporal trends.Results There were 2.9 million DALYs related to early-onset liver cancer globally in 2019. East Asia contributed over half of DALYs, which increased annually by 1.23% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.71, 1.76) between 2010 and 2019. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis was the only growing aetiology. The proportion of DALYs attributed to metabolic risks increased by 22.50% (95% CI = 14.33, 38.13), while behavioral risks remained stable. Obesity surpassed smoking as the most prevalent nondeterministic aetiological risk factor from 2010 to 2019, while the population DALY attributable to hepati-tis B combined with obesity increased by 29.93% (95% CI = 8.49, 60.77) in the same period, making it the principal joint contributor. Conclusions Early-onset liver cancer poses considerable disability and continues to increase in many regions, especially in East Asia. Metabolic risk factors, particularly when hepatitis B and obesity coexist, are the fastest-growing contributors to this type of cancer. More targeted interventions are imperative to curb the growing burden of early-onset liver cancer due to metabolic risks.
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