Risk and prediction of kidney failure early after liver transplantation

Background: Kidney disease is common after liver transplantation (LT), but postoperative kidney failure is difficult to predict. Current guidelines recommend simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation (SLKT) in patients with pre-LT estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below 30-40 mL/min, which might be too liberal. The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of kidney failure after LT. We also assessed the predictive ability of pretransplantation eGFR using various equations.Methods: This single-center study included patients undergoing primary LT 2006-2020. Patients undergoing simultaneous liver-kidney transplantations or on dialysis before LT were analysed separately. We calculated 5 different eGFR equations measured just before LT and assessed their predictive ability using Kaplan-Meier cumulative incidence estimates.Results: Among 556 LT patients with a median follow-up of 5.0 years (IQR 2.0-8.5), 20 developed kidney failure during follow-up, 7 of them within 1-year post LT. Six of these 7 suffered from major perioperative complications. Depending on the eGFR equation used, the incidence of kidney failure within 1-year was 3.9-6.7% at pre-LT eGFR-values <30 mL/min, 1.2-3.1% at eGFR 30-60 mL/min, and 0.6-0.9% at eGFR >60 mL/min.Conclusions: Kidney failure within 1-year post-LT could not be reliably predicted by pre-LT eGFR. However, kidney failure was uncommon even in patients with severely reduced pre-LT glomerular filtration rate (eGFR <30 mL/min), and extremely rare in patients unaffected by major perioperative complications. Our data prompts further consideration regarding the guidelines for SLKT in patients with a reduced preoperative eGFR.