Contemporary Challenges in Crowd Safety Research and Practice, and a Roadmap for the Future: the Swiss Cheese Model of Crowd Safety and the Need for a Vision Zero Target

Milad Haghani, Matt Coughlan, Ben Crabb, Anton Dierickx,Claudio Feliciani, Roderick van Gelder,Paul Geoerg, Nazli Hocaoglu, Steve Laws,Ruggiero Lovreglio, Zoe Miles,Alexandre Nicolas,William O’Toole, Syan Schaap,Travis Semmens,Zahra Shahhoseini,Ramón Spaaij,Andrew Tatrai, John Webster, A. Wilson

Social Science Research Network(2023)

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摘要
Crowds can be subject to intrinsic and extrinsic sources of risk, and previous records have shown that, in the absence of adequate safety measures, these sources of risk can jeopardise human lives. To mitigate these risks, we propose that implementation of multiple layers of safety measures for crowds—what we label The Swiss Cheese Model of Crowd Safety—should become the norm for crowd safety practice. Such system incorporates a multitude of safety protection layers including regulations and policymaking, planning and risk assessment, operational control, community preparedness, and incident response. The underlying premise of such model is that when one (or multiple) layer(s) of safety protection fail(s), the other layer(s) can still prevent an accident. In practice, such model requires a more effective implementation of technology, which can enable provision of real-time data, improved communication and coordination, and efficient incident response. Moreover, implementation of this model necessitates more attention to the overlooked role of public education, awareness raising, and promoting crowd safety culture at broad community levels, as one of last lines of defence against catastrophic outcomes for crowds. Widespread safety culture and awareness has the potential to empower individuals with the knowledge and skills that can prevent such outcomes or mitigate their impacts, when all other (exogenous) layers of protection (such as planning and operational control) fail. This requires safety campaigns and development of widespread educational programs. We conclude that, there is no panacea solution to the crowd safety problem, but a holistic multi-layered safety system that utilises active participation of all potential stakeholders can significantly reduce the likelihood of disastrous accidents. At a global level, we need to target a Vision Zero of Crowd Safety, i.e., set a global initiative of bringing deaths and severe injuries in crowded spaces to zero by a set year.
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关键词
crowd safety research,crowd safety,swiss cheese model
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