A Novel Series-Concatenation Hybrid Prediction Model of Energy Consumption in Hot Strip Roughing Process With Multi-Step Rolling

The steel industry has received serious attention under the background of carbon neutralization and carbon peaking. However, the traditional end-to-end energy consumption (EC) prediction method does not consider the effects of multi-step rolling, multi-time series, and error accumulation. To this end, a series-concatenation model based on a two-stage hybrid network is proposed to achieve EC high-precision prediction in multi-step continuous rolling. Specifically. First, this paper analyzed the mechanism between rolling EC and multiple variables. Second, a two-stage hybrid network with a deep neural network block, convolutional neural network block, long short-term memory block, and SoftBoost block (DCLS-Net) is established for EC prediction of single-step rolling. SoftBoost block is a double-layer structure method proposed in this paper for multi-block precision improvement based on two kinds of boosting strategies. Last, according to the error mechanism and multi-time series characteristics in the multi-step rolling, a series-concatenation EC prediction model is designed to suppress errors and achieve high-precision prediction. The experimental results show that the SoftBoost can effectively improve prediction performance. And the prediction precision of the two-stage DCLS-Net for single-step rolling is improved by 9.43% on average compared with the end-to-end machine learning algorithm. Furthermore, the precision of the series-concatenation model for multi-step rolling is improved by 4.96% compared with the traditional series model, which can satisfy the requirements of high accuracy and positive error in strip rolling production.