The Probability of Metastases Within Different Prostate-specific Antigen Ranges Using Prostate-specific Membrane Antigen Positron Emission Tomography in Patients with Newly Diagnosed Prostate Cancer

Background and objectives: The association between prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level and probability of metastatic disease on prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) has not yet been established in patients with newly diagnosed prostate cancer (PCa). Our objective was to assess the probability of metastatic disease within different PSA ranges using PSMA PET/CT for initial staging of PCa, and to identify both the anatomical distribution and the predictors of metastases on PSMA PET/CT.Methods: In total, 2193 patients with newly diagnosed PCa were retrospectively studied. PSMA PET/CT was performed for staging purposes between January 2017 and May 2022. The proportion of patients with PSMA-avid metastases, stratified by PSA level, was studied. A vast majority of patients in whom at least one high-risk prognostic factor was present underwent PSMA PET/CT. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of metastases on PSMA PET/CT using clinical, biochemical, radiological, and pathological variables.Key findings and limitations: The median PSA level at PSMA PET/CT was 14.1 ng/ml. Any metastatic disease (miN1-M1a-c) was observed in 34.7% (763/2193) of all patients and distant metastases (miM1a-c) in 25.4% (557/2193) of patients. The presence of any metastatic disease increased with PSA levels, being 15.4% in men with PSA levels <10 ng/ml and 87.5% in men with PSA levels >100 ng/ml. The multivariable logistic regression analysis found significant associations between the presence of any metastatic disease and PSA subgroups, clinical tumor stage >= T2, grade group >3, and radiological tumor stage >= T3b.Conclusions and clinical implications: This is the first large epidemiological study in patients with PCa demonstrating the association between PSA subgroups and metastatic disease on modern imaging PSMA PET/CT. Data from this study can be used to counsel patients on the probability of metastatic disease at the time of PSA screening and to provide guidance on existing guidelines.Patient summary: The prostate-specific antigen level could be used to assess the risk of metastases on prostate-specific membrane antigen positron (PSMA) emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT). This knowledge is valuable for selecting patients who will benefit most from metastatic screening with PSMA PET/CT.(c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of European Association of Urology. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons. org/licenses/by/4.0/).