Is dual agent immunotherapy shifting the epidemiology of melanoma brain metastases? a real-world analysis and single-institution validation

Abstract INTRODUCTION Dual agent immunotherapy (dIT) has been paradigm changing in melanoma brain metastasis (MBM). Recent clinical trials have supported the role of dIT for upfront management of small, asymptomatic MBM. Yet, its potential role in extending brain metastasis free survival and decreasing MBM incidence overall has been inadequately explored. Objective: To compare new brain metastasis incidence, median overall survival (OS), and brain metastasis free survival (BMFS) in melanoma patients treated with dIT versus single immunotherapy (sIT). METHODS A real-world deidentified database collating clinical information from 92 organizations (TriNetX, Inc) was queried. Melanoma patients without brain metastases prior to immunotherapy were stratified by treatment (anti-CTLA4 [sIT] and combination anti-CTLA4/ anti-PD1 [dIT]) and propensity score matched. A complementary single-institution retrospective cohort study analyzed melanoma patients treated from 2012-2019. The incidence of new asynchronous MBMs after immunotherapy initiation was compared. Median OS and BMFS were compared via log-rank tests and Cox proportional-hazards model. RESULTS TriNetX identified 8,686 melanoma patients who received immunotherapy (4,585 dIT; 4,101 sIT). MBM prevalence was 9.6%, and 15.6%, for the dIT and sIT cohorts, respectively (p < 0.0001). DIT was associated with a lower likelihood of developing MBM compared to sIT (OR [95%CI], 0.64 [0.61-0.77]). After propensity score matching on demographics and significant comorbidities, OS was not statistically different between treatment groups. On single-institution analysis, 222 melanoma patients were included (89 dIT; 45 anti-CTLA4; 88 anti-PD1). Patients were predominantly stage III at diagnosis (43%) with PD-L1 expression (51%) and BRAF (43%), and NRAS wildtype (50%) mutational status. BMFS was significantly extended in the dIT cohort compared to the anti-CTLA4 or anti-PD1 alone cohorts (406, 217, 139 days, respectively; p< 0.0001). On Cox-proportional hazards model, no covariates significantly contributed to the BMFS difference. CONCLUSION These data highlight the impact of combination anti-CTL4/ anti-PD1 immunotherapy in decreasing BM incidence in melanoma.