Changes in demography and geographic distribution in the weeping pinyon pine (Pinus pinceana) during the Pleistocene

Climate changes, together with geographical barriers imposed by the Sierra Madre Oriental and the Chihuahuan Desert, have shaped the genetic diversity and spatial distribution of different species in northern Mexico. Pinus pinceana Gordon & Glend. tolerates extremely arid conditions. Northern Mexico became more arid during the Quaternary, modifying ecological communities. Here, we try to identify the processes underlying the demographic history of P. pinceana and characterize its genetic diversity using 3100 SNPs from genotyping by sequencing 90 adult individuals from 10 natural populations covering the species' entire geographic distribution. We inferred its population history and contrasted possible demographic scenarios of divergence that modeled the genetic diversity present in this restricted pinyon pine; in support, the past distribution was reconstructed using climate from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 22 kya). We inferred that P. pinceana diverged into two lineages ~2.49 Ma (95% CI 3.28-1.62), colonizing two regions: the Sierra Madre Oriental (SMO) and the Chihuahuan Desert (ChD). Our results of population genomic analyses reveal the presence of heterozygous SNPs in all populations. In addition, low migration rates across regions are probably related to glacial-interglacial cycles, followed by the gradual aridification of the Chihuahuan Desert during the Holocene.