Abstract 15393: Low Risk of Rheumatic Heart Disease Among Children Found to Have an Alternate Diagnosis to Acute Rheumatic Fever in a High Risk Setting

Introduction: In 2015, the American Heart Association revised the Jones Criteria, the gold standard for diagnosis of acute rheumatic fever (ARF). This revision included changes to increase the sensitivity for ARF in high-risk settings. The objective of this study was to determine if there were children who were found to be ARF-negative by strict application of these criteria in a high risk setting but found to have rheumatic heart disease (RHD) on follow-up evaluation. Methods: Between 2017 and 2020, we conducted an epidemiological study to determine the incidence of ARF in Uganda. Children and adolescents, 3-17 years, presenting with clinical concern for ARF (fever and joint pain, suspicion of carditis, or suspicion of chorea) were enrolled and evaluated using the Jones Criteria. Children ultimately found to have a laboratory-confirmed alternate diagnosis and those who did not meet ARF criteria but had an unknown final diagnosis, were asked to participate in a longitudinal echocardiographic follow-up study to monitor for development of RHD. Presence of RHD was considered a false negative test and used to calculate the false negative error of not receiving a diagnosis of ARF. Results: There were 351 children determined to have an alternate diagnosis during the study period; 180 with a laboratory confirmed final diagnosis (127 malaria, 20 non-rheumatic cardiac disease, 15 influenza, 18 other) and 171 with an unknown final diagnosis. Of these, 220 (62.7%) had at least one follow-up visit (median 366 days, range 10-1054). One child (1/220, <1%) developed echocardiographic evidence of borderline RHD during the follow-up period. Diagnostic overlap (met Jones Criteria but found to have a laboratory confirmed alternate diagnosis) was seen in 18% (33/180) of those with laboratory confirmed alternate diagnosis. Of these, 21 of 33 attended at least one follow-up (median 340 days, range 10-1054), and none showed echocardiographic evidence of RHD. Conclusions: Application of the 2015 Jones Criteria showed an exceptionally low rate of subsequent RHD, even in cases of diagnostic overlap. Clinicians working in ARF-endemic settings can have high confidence that children who do not meet criteria for ARF have a low risk of false negative diagnosis and short-term risk of RHD.