Hypergraph reconstruction from uncertain pairwise observations

The network reconstruction task aims to estimate a complex system’s structure from various data sources such as time series, snapshots, or interaction counts. Recent work has examined this problem in networks whose relationships involve precisely two entities—the pairwise case. Here, using Bayesian inference, we investigate the general problem of reconstructing a network in which higher-order interactions are also present. We study a minimal example of this problem, focusing on the case of hypergraphs with interactions between pairs and triplets of vertices, measured imperfectly and indirectly. We derive a Metropolis-Hastings-within-Gibbs algorithm for this model to highlight the unique challenges that come with estimating higher-order models. We show that this approach tends to reconstruct empirical and synthetic networks more accurately than an equivalent graph model without higher-order interactions.