A tumor microenvironment-associated circRNA predictor for tumor relapse and chemotherapy vulnerability in nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Accurate risk stratification for patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) is crucial for prognosis and treatment decisions. Here, we develop a tumor microenvironment-associated circular RNA (circRNA) signature that can stratify LA-NPC patients with different risks of relapse and vulnerability to induction chemotherapy (IC). Relapsed-related circRNAs are identified by comparing expression profiles between patients with and without relapse, followed by quantitative validation in the training cohort (n = 170). A nine-circRNA signature is constructed to classify patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. Low-risk patients have significantly favorable clinical survivals, which is validated in the internal (n = 170) and external (n = 150) cohorts. They are characterized by an immune-active microenvironment and can derive benefits from IC. Meanwhile, high-risk patients characterized with pro-relapse and DNA repair-associated features, are vulnerable to chemoresistance. Overall, the circRNA-based classifier serves as a reliable prognostic tool and might guide chemotherapy decisions for patients with LA-NPC.