Early progression of chronic histologic lesions in kidney transplant biopsies is not associated with HLA histocompatibility

Background Early progression of chronic histologic lesions in kidney allografts represents the main finding in graft attrition. The objective of this retrospective cohort study was to elucidate whether HLA histocompatibility is associated with progression of chronic histologic lesions in the first year post-transplant. Established associations of de novo donor-specific antibody (dnDSA) formation with HLA mismatch and microvascular inflammation (MVI) were calculated to allow for comparability with other study cohorts.Methods We included 117 adult kidney transplant recipients, transplanted between 2016 and 2020 from predominantly deceased donors, who had surveillance biopsies at 3 and 12 months. Histologic lesion scores were assessed according to the Banff classification. HLA mismatch scores [i.e. eplet, predicted indirectly recognizable HLA-epitopes algorithm (PIRCHE-II), HLA epitope mismatch algorithm (HLA-EMMA), HLA whole antigen A/B/DR] were calculated for all transplant pairs. Formation of dnDSAs was quantified by single antigen beads.Results More than one-third of patients exhibited a progression of chronic lesion scores by at least one Banff grade in tubular atrophy (ct), interstitial fibrosis (ci), arteriolar hyalinosis (ah) and inflammation in the area of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (i-IFTA) from the 3- to the 12-month biopsy. Multivariable proportional odds logistic regression models revealed no association of HLA mismatch scores with progression of histologic lesions, except for ah and especially HLA-EMMA DRB1 [odds ratio (OR) = 1.10, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.18]. Furthermore, the established associations of dnDSA formation with HLA mismatch and MVI (OR = 5.31, 95% CI 1.19-22.57) could be confirmed in our cohort.Conclusions These data support the association of HLA mismatch and alloimmune response, while suggesting that other factors contribute to early progression of chronic histologic lesions. Graphical Abstract 10.1093/ndt/gfad246 Video Watch the video of this contribution at https://academic.oup.com/ndt/pages/author_videos gfad246Media1 6342613595112