The prognostic role of gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with a primary gastrointestinal stromal tumor: a long-term follow-up study

Background: Gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding is one of the common symptoms of GI stromal tumor (GIST). Although several studies have highlighted its prognostic role, conclusions have been inconsistent. This study aimed to investigate the prognosis of GIST patients with GI bleeding.Methods: Primary GIST patients who underwent complete resection and did not receive adjuvant imatinib therapy from January 2003 to December 2008 were reviewed. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate recurrence-free survival (RFS), and multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazard model. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to reduce confounders. A systematic review of the published articles in the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Collaboration, and Medline databases was also conducted, and the inclusion criteria were determined using PICOS principles.Results: In total, 84 patients presenting with GI bleeding and 90 patients without GI bleeding were enrolled in this study. The median time of follow-up was 140 months (range, 10-196 months), and 38 patients developed tumor recurrence/metastasis. For all patients, the multivariate analysis indicated that tumor location [hazard ratio (HR) =3.48, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.78-6.82, P<0.001], tumor size (HR =1.91, 95% CI: 1.05-3.47, P=0.035), mitotic index (MI; HR =5.69, 95% CI: 2.77-11.67, P<0.001), and age (HR =2.68, 95% CI: 1.49-4.82, P=0.001) were the independent prognostic factors for poor RFS. However, GI bleeding was not associated with RFS (HR =1.21, 95% CI: 0.68-2.14, P=0.518). After PSM, 45 patients from each group were included, and it was found that GI bleeding was still not the independent prognostic factor (HR =1.23, 95% CI: 0.51-2.97, P=0.642). Moreover, the pooled results of our study and six previously reported studies showed that GI bleeding was not the independent prognostic factor (HR =1.45, 95% CI: 0.73-2.86, P=0.287). Conclusions: In this study, tumor location, tumor size, MI, and age were independent prognostic factors in primary GIST patients who underwent radical resection. However, GI bleeding was not associated with worse RFS.