Domain-specific probabilistic programming with Multiverse Explorer

Alan F. Blackwell,Alex Raymond, Colton Botta, Matthew Keenan, William Hayter-Dalgliesh

2023 IEEE SYMPOSIUM ON VISUAL LANGUAGES AND HUMAN-CENTRIC COMPUTING, VL/HCC(2023)

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摘要
We present Multiverse Explorer, a domain-specific probabilistic programming language presented as a visual language integrated with a domain world model. The interactive visualisation presents a Monte Carlo simulation over a causal graph, allowing the user to gain an overview and query alternative outcomes in a counterfactual manner. Separate graphs express the policies attributed to multiple heterogeneous agents. The outcomes of actions are visualised in an interactive 3D animation of the environment; in this work, we apply the Multiverse Explorer to multi-agent driving scenarios by extending the CARLA simulator. The Multiverse Explorer has been evaluated with a sample of technical non-specialists, demonstrating the potential of this approach to be used in design, audit, policy, litigation, and other contexts where the outcome of multi-agent decision scenarios must be investigated by professionals beyond a specialist AI audience.
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关键词
Programming,Visualisation,User centered design,Graphical user interfaces
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