Predictive value of coronary artery computed tomography-derived fractional flow reserve for cardiovascular events in patients with coronary artery disease

Background Coronary computed tomography-derived fractional flow reserve (FFR-CT) assesses whether coronary artery lesions will result in myocardial ischemia. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of FFR-CT for cardiovascular events in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods Data were collected retrospectively from patients with CAD who underwent FFR-CT at our hospital from January 2020 to February 2022 (1-year average follow-up). Patients were divided into ischemic (FFR-CT ≤ 0.80) and non-ischemic (FFR-CT > 0.80) groups. The incidence of endpoint events (cardiac death, acute myocardial infarction, unplanned revascularization, unstable angina, and stable angina) was calculated. The FFR-CT value was correlated with endpoint events using Cox regression models and Kaplan–Meier survival curves. Results We recruited 134 patients (93 [69.4%] and 41 [30.6%] patients in the ischemic and non-ischemic groups, respectively). The ischemic group had a higher proportion of men, patients with type 2 diabetes and hypertension, and patients taking antiplatelet drugs and β‑blockers than did the non-ischemic group (all p < 0.05), whereas other parameters were comparable. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed no significant differences in cardiac death, acute myocardial infarction, unplanned revascularization, and unstable angina between the groups. The incidence of stable angina events (hazard ratio: 3.092, 95% confidence interval: 1.362–7.022, p = 0.007) was significantly higher in the ischemic group. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis revealed a significant difference in event-free survival for stable angina between the groups ( p = 0.002). Conclusion In patients with CAD, FFR-CT showed an independent predictive value for stable angina within 1 year of examination.