Cognition in older adults in Uganda: Correlates, trends over time and association with mortality in prospective population study.

Dementia is an important and growing issue in sub-Saharan Africa, but epidemiological data are lacking. Risk factors may differ from other regions due to high stroke incidence and HIV prevalence. Understanding the epidemiology of cognition in older adults in Africa is crucial for informing public health strategies to improve the lives of people with dementia and their carers. The Wellbeing of Older People Study in Uganda is an open cohort of adults aged 50+ with and without HIV, established in 2009. Detailed socio-demographic and health data have been collected at four waves spanning 10 years, including cognitive assessment using internationally validated WHO-recommended tests: verbal recall, digit span, and verbal fluency. Mortality data was collected until the end of the fourth wave (2019). We examined associations of low baseline cognition scores and changes in cognition score over time using random effects modelling, care needs of people with lower cognition scores, and the relationship between cognition score and mortality. Data were collected on 811 participants. Older age, lower educational attainment, lower socio-economic position, and extremes of BMI were associated with lower cognition scores. Cognition scores declined faster at older ages, but rate of decline was not associated with cardiovascular disease or HIV at baseline. People with lower cognition scores required more assistance with Activities of Daily Living, but mortality rates were similar across the range of cognition scores. The crucial next step will be to investigate types and presentation of clinical dementia in this cohort, so we can better understand the clinical relevance of these findings to inform public health planning.