Plasma Cartilage Acidic Protein 1 Measured by ELISA Is Associated With the Progression to Total Joint Replacement in Postmenopausal Women.

OBJECTIVE:To investigate the association of plasma cartilage acidic protein 1 (CRTAC1), a novel biochemical marker of osteoarthritis (OA), and total joint replacement (TJR) in postmenopausal women. METHODS:The association of plasma CRTAC1 with the incidence of TJR was investigated in a prospective cohort including 478 postmenopausal women. A total of 38 women underwent a TJR for OA during a median follow-up of 18 years. Every one of the TJR cases were age- and BMI (kg/m2)-matched with 2 controls with no TJR from the same cohort. Plasma CRTAC1 was measured before TJR. The association between CRTAC1 and TJR incidence was investigated by conditional logistic regression. RESULTS:Increased CRTAC1 was associated with a higher risk of TJR with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.80 (95% CI 1.11-2.92) for 1 SD increase, which remained significant after adjusting for Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index, knee OA baseline severity (Kellgren-Lawrence grade), hip OA, and hip bone mineral density. Urinary crosslinked C-telopeptide of type II collagen (CTX-II) was also associated with a higher risk of TJR with an adjusted OR of 1.83 (95% CI 1.11-3.00). When CRTAC1 and CTX-II were included in the same model, both markers were significantly associated with TJR with similar ORs. CONCLUSION:CRTAC1 is a new risk indicator of TJR for OA in postmenopausal women. Combined with knee and hip OA and CTX-II, it may help to identify subjects at risk for TJR.