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Prediction of urban residential energy consumption intensity in China toward 2060 under regional development scenarios

Shuqin Chen,Yurui Huang,Jiamin Hu,Shichao Yang,Changqing Lin,Kai Mao,Zhiqin Rao,Yue Chen

Sustainable Cities and Society（2023）

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Abstract
•Energy consumption intensity in all zones of China were predicted from 2020 to 2060.•A “bottom-up” physical model with regional scenario assumptions was proposed.•Large-scale investigations were conducted in China and developed countries.•Benchmark, medium control, and strict control scenarios were set.
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Key words
Urban residential buildings, Energy consumption intensity, Scenario assumptions, Future prediction
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