The long-run risk premium in the intertemporal CAPM: International evidence

JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INSTITUTIONS & MONEY(2023)

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摘要
This study investigates whether long-run conditional covariance risk is linked to expected returns in the Intertemporal CAPM framework. We observe that the long-run value risk is positively associated with the expected returns on the global portfolios excluding the US. We also find that the long-run momentum risk is negatively related to the expected returns. In contrast, the longrun market risk is not associated with them, due to the low covariance variation across portfolios. Finally, we uncover that the long-run value premiums were strong for the global and European portfolios before the COVID-19 pandemic.
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关键词
ICAPM,Long -run risk,Value anomalies,Factor models,COVID-19,DCC-MIDAS
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